preliminary improved runs

This commit is contained in:
2026-01-24 23:51:57 +01:00
parent 4033e73ba1
commit 1224841a82
3 changed files with 279 additions and 664 deletions

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@@ -6,7 +6,8 @@ Tracks COI erosion, alpha estimation error, and economic KPIs per thesis formula
from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
import json
from dataclasses import dataclass, asdict
from concurrent.futures import ProcessPoolExecutor, as_completed
from dataclasses import dataclass, asdict, field
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Dict, List, Callable, Any
import numpy as np
@@ -27,10 +28,9 @@ except ImportError:
HAS_TB = False
from .simplified_env import PricingEnv, EnvConfig, make_env, adaptive_policy, fixed_price_policy, random_policy
from .simplified import coi_erosion
from .coi import coi_erosion
# thesis-aligned KPIs tracked per episode
@dataclass
class EpisodeMetrics:
reward: float = 0.0
@@ -43,10 +43,24 @@ class EpisodeMetrics:
n_agents: int = 0
steps: int = 0
def accumulate(self, info: Dict[str, Any]) -> None:
self.steps += 1
self.reward += info.get('reward', 0)
self.revenue += info.get('revenue', 0)
self.profit += info.get('profit', 0)
self.coi_erosion += info.get('coi_erosion', 0)
self.coi_leakage += info.get('coi_leakage', 0)
self.alpha_error += abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0))
self.avg_margin += info.get('avg_margin', 0)
self.n_agents += info.get('n_agents', 0)
def normalized(self) -> Dict[str, float]:
s = max(self.steps, 1)
return {k: getattr(self, k) / s for k in ['revenue', 'profit', 'coi_erosion', 'coi_leakage', 'alpha_error', 'avg_margin', 'n_agents']}
@dataclass
class ExperimentConfig:
"""Full experiment specification for reproducibility."""
algo: str = "ppo"
total_timesteps: int = 100_000
n_envs: int = 4
@@ -65,17 +79,14 @@ class ExperimentConfig:
self.experiment_name = f"{self.algo}_a{self.alpha_true:.2f}_{self.reward_mode}"
# unified policy interface wrapping all baselines
class Policy:
"""Unified policy interface for baselines and trained models."""
def __init__(self, policy_fn: Callable[[np.ndarray, int], np.ndarray], name: str):
self._fn = policy_fn
self.name = name
self._fn, self.name = policy_fn, name
def predict(self, obs: np.ndarray, deterministic: bool = True) -> tuple[np.ndarray, None]:
n = (len(obs) - 3) // 3
return self._fn(obs, n), None
return self._fn(obs, (len(obs) - 3) // 3), None
@staticmethod
def fixed(margin: float = 0.15) -> "Policy":
@@ -91,99 +102,97 @@ class Policy:
@staticmethod
def myopic(greed: float = 0.3) -> "Policy":
"""Myopic: maximize immediate margin, ignore alpha."""
def _fn(obs: np.ndarray, n: int) -> np.ndarray:
demand_norm = obs[n:2*n] if len(obs) > 2*n else np.ones(n) * 0.5
mult = 1.0 + greed * (1 + np.mean(demand_norm))
return np.ones(n, dtype=np.float32) * np.clip(mult, 0.5, 1.5)
return np.ones(n, dtype=np.float32) * np.clip(1.0 + greed * (1 + np.mean(demand_norm)), 0.5, 1.5)
return Policy(_fn, f"myopic_{greed:.1f}")
class MetricsCallback(BaseCallback):
"""Tracks thesis-aligned metrics during RL training."""
def log_metrics(writer: SummaryWriter | None, metrics: Dict[str, float], prefix: str, step: int) -> None:
if writer is None:
return
for k, v in metrics.items():
writer.add_scalar(f'{prefix}/{k}', v, step)
class MetricsCallback(BaseCallback):
def __init__(self, writer: SummaryWriter | None, verbose: int = 0):
super().__init__(verbose)
self._writer = writer
self._ep = EpisodeMetrics()
self._buffer: List[EpisodeMetrics] = []
def _on_step(self) -> bool:
if self._writer is None:
return True
for info in self.locals.get('infos', []):
self._ep.steps += 1
self._ep.reward += info.get('reward', 0)
self._ep.revenue += info.get('revenue', 0)
self._ep.profit += info.get('profit', 0)
self._ep.coi_erosion += info.get('coi_erosion', 0)
self._ep.coi_leakage += info.get('coi_leakage', 0)
self._ep.alpha_error += abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0))
self._ep.avg_margin += info.get('avg_margin', 0)
self._ep.n_agents += info.get('n_agents', 0)
t = self.num_timesteps
self._writer.add_scalar('economics/revenue', info.get('revenue', 0), t)
self._writer.add_scalar('economics/profit', info.get('profit', 0), t)
self._writer.add_scalar('economics/margin', info.get('avg_margin', 0), t)
self._writer.add_scalar('coi/erosion', info.get('coi_erosion', 0), t)
self._writer.add_scalar('coi/leakage', info.get('coi_leakage', 0), t)
self._writer.add_scalar('alpha/estimation_error', abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0)), t)
self._writer.add_scalar('agents/count', info.get('n_agents', 0), t)
return True
def _on_rollout_end(self) -> None:
if self._ep.steps == 0 or self._writer is None:
return
s, step = self._ep.steps, self.num_timesteps
self._writer.add_scalar('economics/revenue', self._ep.revenue / s, step)
self._writer.add_scalar('economics/profit', self._ep.profit / s, step)
self._writer.add_scalar('economics/margin', self._ep.avg_margin / s, step)
self._writer.add_scalar('coi/erosion', self._ep.coi_erosion / s, step)
self._writer.add_scalar('coi/leakage', self._ep.coi_leakage / s, step)
self._writer.add_scalar('alpha/estimation_error', self._ep.alpha_error / s, step)
self._writer.add_scalar('agents/count', self._ep.n_agents / s, step)
self._buffer.append(self._ep)
self._ep = EpisodeMetrics()
def make_vec_env(cfg: ExperimentConfig, n_envs: int = 1) -> DummyVecEnv:
def _make():
env_cfg = EnvConfig(n_products=cfg.n_products, max_steps=cfg.max_steps,
alpha_true=cfg.alpha_true, reward_mode=cfg.reward_mode, seed=cfg.seed)
return Monitor(make_env(env_cfg))
return Monitor(make_env(EnvConfig(n_products=cfg.n_products, max_steps=cfg.max_steps,
alpha_true=cfg.alpha_true, reward_mode=cfg.reward_mode, seed=cfg.seed)))
return DummyVecEnv([_make for _ in range(n_envs)])
def evaluate_policy(policy: Policy | Any, cfg: ExperimentConfig, n_episodes: int = 20) -> Dict[str, float]:
"""Evaluate policy and return thesis-aligned metrics."""
env_cfg = EnvConfig(n_products=cfg.n_products, max_steps=cfg.max_steps,
alpha_true=cfg.alpha_true, reward_mode=cfg.reward_mode, seed=cfg.seed + 999)
env = make_env(env_cfg)
def run_episodes(policy: Policy | Any, env: PricingEnv, n_episodes: int) -> List[EpisodeMetrics]:
"""Run policy for n episodes and collect metrics."""
metrics = []
for _ in range(n_episodes):
obs, _ = env.reset()
ep = EpisodeMetrics()
done = False
ep, done = EpisodeMetrics(), False
while not done:
action, _ = policy.predict(obs, deterministic=True)
obs, reward, term, trunc, info = env.step(action)
done = term or trunc
ep.accumulate(info)
ep.reward += reward
ep.revenue += info.get('revenue', 0)
ep.profit += info.get('profit', 0)
ep.coi_erosion += info.get('coi_erosion', 0)
ep.coi_leakage += info.get('coi_leakage', 0)
ep.alpha_error += abs(info['alpha_true'] - info['alpha_est'])
ep.avg_margin += info.get('avg_margin', 0)
ep.steps += 1
metrics.append(ep)
return metrics
n = len(metrics)
def evaluate_policy(policy: Policy | Any, cfg: ExperimentConfig, n_episodes: int = 20) -> Dict[str, float]:
env = make_env(EnvConfig(n_products=cfg.n_products, max_steps=cfg.max_steps,
alpha_true=cfg.alpha_true, reward_mode=cfg.reward_mode, seed=cfg.seed + 999))
metrics = run_episodes(policy, env, n_episodes)
return {
'reward_mean': np.mean([m.reward for m in metrics]),
'reward_std': np.std([m.reward for m in metrics]),
'revenue_mean': np.mean([m.revenue / m.steps for m in metrics]),
'profit_mean': np.mean([m.profit / m.steps for m in metrics]),
'coi_erosion_mean': np.mean([m.coi_erosion / m.steps for m in metrics]),
'coi_leakage_mean': np.mean([m.coi_leakage / m.steps for m in metrics]),
'alpha_error_mean': np.mean([m.alpha_error / m.steps for m in metrics]),
'margin_mean': np.mean([m.avg_margin / m.steps for m in metrics]),
'reward_mean': np.mean([m.reward for m in metrics]), 'reward_std': np.std([m.reward for m in metrics]),
**{f'{k}_mean': np.mean([m.normalized()[k] for m in metrics])
for k in ['revenue', 'profit', 'coi_erosion', 'coi_leakage', 'alpha_error', 'avg_margin']},
}
def run_baseline(policy: Policy, vec_env: DummyVecEnv, total_steps: int, writer: SummaryWriter | None):
obs, n_envs = vec_env.reset(), vec_env.num_envs
ep_rewards = np.zeros(n_envs)
for step in range(0, total_steps, n_envs):
actions = np.array([policy.predict(obs[i])[0] for i in range(n_envs)])
obs, rewards, dones, infos = vec_env.step(actions)
ep_rewards += rewards
for i, info in enumerate(infos):
if writer:
writer.add_scalar('economics/revenue', info.get('revenue', 0), step)
writer.add_scalar('economics/profit', info.get('profit', 0), step)
writer.add_scalar('economics/margin', info.get('avg_margin', 0), step)
writer.add_scalar('coi/erosion', info.get('coi_erosion', 0), step)
writer.add_scalar('coi/leakage', info.get('coi_leakage', 0), step)
writer.add_scalar('alpha/estimation_error', abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0)), step)
writer.add_scalar('agents/count', info.get('n_agents', 0), step)
if dones[i]:
if writer:
writer.add_scalar('rollout/ep_reward', ep_rewards[i], step)
ep_rewards[i] = 0
def train(cfg: ExperimentConfig) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""Train RL agent or evaluate baseline policy."""
is_baseline = cfg.algo.lower() in ["fixed", "adaptive", "random", "myopic"]
if not HAS_SB3 and not is_baseline:
raise ImportError("stable-baselines3 required: pip install stable-baselines3[extra]")
@@ -194,85 +203,65 @@ def train(cfg: ExperimentConfig) -> Dict[str, Any]:
json.dump(asdict(cfg), f, indent=2)
writer = SummaryWriter(log_path) if HAS_TB else None
train_env = make_vec_env(cfg, cfg.n_envs)
eval_env = make_vec_env(cfg, 1)
train_env, eval_env = make_vec_env(cfg, cfg.n_envs), make_vec_env(cfg, 1)
if is_baseline:
policy_map = {"fixed": Policy.fixed(), "adaptive": Policy.adaptive(),
"random": Policy.random(), "myopic": Policy.myopic()}
policy = policy_map[cfg.algo.lower()]
policy = {"fixed": Policy.fixed, "adaptive": Policy.adaptive, "random": Policy.random, "myopic": Policy.myopic}[cfg.algo.lower()]()
run_baseline(policy, train_env, cfg.total_timesteps, writer)
final_metrics = evaluate_policy(policy, cfg)
else:
algo_cls = {"ppo": PPO, "sac": SAC, "a2c": A2C}.get(cfg.algo.lower())
if algo_cls is None:
raise ValueError(f"unknown algo: {cfg.algo}")
algo_cls = {"ppo": PPO, "sac": SAC, "a2c": A2C}[cfg.algo.lower()]
common = dict(verbose=1, seed=cfg.seed, tensorboard_log=str(log_path), device="auto")
# TODO: setup hyper parameter passing to train different variations (no free lunch)
if cfg.algo.lower() == "ppo":
model = PPO("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=3e-4, n_steps=2048,
batch_size=64, n_epochs=10, gamma=0.99, gae_lambda=0.95,
clip_range=0.2, ent_coef=0.01, **common)
elif cfg.algo.lower() == "sac":
model = SAC("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=3e-4, buffer_size=100_000,
batch_size=256, tau=0.005, gamma=0.99, **common)
else:
model = A2C("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=7e-4, n_steps=5, gamma=0.99, **common)
model = {
"ppo": lambda: PPO("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=3e-4, n_steps=2048, batch_size=64, n_epochs=10, gamma=0.99, gae_lambda=0.95, clip_range=0.2, ent_coef=0.01, **common),
"sac": lambda: SAC("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=3e-4, buffer_size=100_000, batch_size=256, tau=0.005, gamma=0.99, **common),
"a2c": lambda: A2C("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=7e-4, n_steps=5, gamma=0.99, **common),
}[cfg.algo.lower()]()
cb = MetricsCallback(writer)
eval_cb = EvalCallback(eval_env, best_model_save_path=str(log_path / "best"),
log_path=str(log_path), eval_freq=cfg.eval_freq,
n_eval_episodes=cfg.n_eval_episodes, deterministic=True)
eval_cb = EvalCallback(eval_env, best_model_save_path=str(log_path / "best"), log_path=str(log_path),
eval_freq=cfg.eval_freq, n_eval_episodes=cfg.n_eval_episodes, deterministic=True)
model.learn(cfg.total_timesteps, callback=[cb, eval_cb], progress_bar=True)
model.save(log_path / "final_model")
policy = model
final_metrics = evaluate_policy(model, cfg)
if writer:
for k, v in final_metrics.items():
writer.add_scalar(f'final/{k}', v, cfg.total_timesteps)
log_metrics(writer, final_metrics, 'final', cfg.total_timesteps)
writer.close()
train_env.close()
eval_env.close()
train_env.close(); eval_env.close()
with open(log_path / "results.json", "w") as f:
json.dump(final_metrics, f, indent=2)
return {"path": str(log_path), "metrics": final_metrics}
def run_baseline(policy: Policy, vec_env: DummyVecEnv, total_steps: int, writer: SummaryWriter | None):
"""Run baseline policy through environment with logging."""
obs = vec_env.reset()
n_envs = vec_env.num_envs
ep_rewards = np.zeros(n_envs)
all_rewards, coi_buf, alpha_buf = [], [], []
for step in range(0, total_steps, n_envs):
actions = np.array([policy.predict(obs[i])[0] for i in range(n_envs)])
obs, rewards, dones, infos = vec_env.step(actions)
ep_rewards += rewards
for i, info in enumerate(infos):
coi_buf.append(info.get('coi_erosion', 0))
alpha_buf.append(abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0)))
if dones[i]:
all_rewards.append(ep_rewards[i])
ep_rewards[i] = 0
if writer and step % 1000 < n_envs and all_rewards:
writer.add_scalar('rollout/ep_rew_mean', np.mean(all_rewards[-20:]), step)
writer.add_scalar('coi/erosion', np.mean(coi_buf[-100:]), step)
writer.add_scalar('alpha/estimation_error', np.mean(alpha_buf[-100:]), step)
def _train_alpha(args: tuple) -> tuple[str, Dict]:
"""Worker for parallel sweep - must be top-level for pickling."""
cfg_dict, alpha = args
cfg_dict["alpha_true"] = alpha
cfg_dict["experiment_name"] = f"{cfg_dict['algo']}_a{alpha:.2f}_{cfg_dict['reward_mode']}"
sweep_cfg = ExperimentConfig(**cfg_dict)
print(f"[alpha={alpha:.2f}] starting")
metrics = train(sweep_cfg)["metrics"]
print(f"[alpha={alpha:.2f}] done")
return f"alpha_{alpha:.2f}", metrics
def run_sweep(cfg: ExperimentConfig, alphas: List[float] | None = None) -> Dict[str, Dict]:
"""Run experiment across contamination levels for scientific comparison."""
alphas = alphas or [0.0, 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5]
results = {}
for alpha in alphas:
sweep_cfg = ExperimentConfig(**{**asdict(cfg), "alpha_true": alpha,
"experiment_name": f"{cfg.algo}_a{alpha:.2f}_{cfg.reward_mode}"})
print(f"\n=== α={alpha:.2f} ===")
out = train(sweep_cfg)
results[f"alpha_{alpha:.2f}"] = out["metrics"]
def run_sweep(cfg: ExperimentConfig, alphas: List[float] | None = None, max_workers: int | None = None) -> Dict[str, Dict]:
alphas = alphas or [0.0, 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9]
cfg_dict = asdict(cfg)
if max_workers == 1: # sequential fallback
results = dict(_train_alpha((cfg_dict.copy(), a)) for a in alphas)
else:
with ProcessPoolExecutor(max_workers=max_workers) as pool:
futures = {pool.submit(_train_alpha, (cfg_dict.copy(), a)): a for a in alphas}
results = {}
for fut in as_completed(futures):
key, metrics = fut.result()
results[key] = metrics
summary_path = Path(cfg.log_dir) / f"sweep_{cfg.algo}_{cfg.reward_mode}.json"
with open(summary_path, "w") as f:
json.dump(results, f, indent=2)
@@ -280,23 +269,38 @@ def run_sweep(cfg: ExperimentConfig, alphas: List[float] | None = None) -> Dict[
return results
def compare_policies(cfg: ExperimentConfig, policies: List[str] | None = None) -> Dict[str, Dict]:
"""Compare multiple policies at same contamination level."""
def _train_policy(args: tuple) -> tuple[str, Dict]:
"""Worker for parallel policy comparison."""
cfg_dict, algo = args
cfg_dict["algo"] = algo
cfg_dict["experiment_name"] = f"cmp_{algo}_a{cfg_dict['alpha_true']:.2f}"
cmp_cfg = ExperimentConfig(**cfg_dict)
print(f"[{algo}] starting")
metrics = train(cmp_cfg)["metrics"]
print(f"[{algo}] done")
return algo, metrics
def compare_policies(cfg: ExperimentConfig, policies: List[str] | None = None, max_workers: int | None = None) -> Dict[str, Dict]:
policies = policies or ["fixed", "adaptive", "myopic", "random"]
results = {}
for algo in policies:
cmp_cfg = ExperimentConfig(**{**asdict(cfg), "algo": algo,
"experiment_name": f"cmp_{algo}_a{cfg.alpha_true:.2f}"})
print(f"\n=== {algo} ===")
out = train(cmp_cfg)
results[algo] = out["metrics"]
cfg_dict = asdict(cfg)
if max_workers == 1:
results = dict(_train_policy((cfg_dict.copy(), p)) for p in policies)
else:
with ProcessPoolExecutor(max_workers=max_workers) as pool:
futures = {pool.submit(_train_policy, (cfg_dict.copy(), p)): p for p in policies}
results = {}
for fut in as_completed(futures):
algo, metrics = fut.result()
results[algo] = metrics
cmp_path = Path(cfg.log_dir) / f"compare_a{cfg.alpha_true:.2f}.json"
with open(cmp_path, "w") as f:
json.dump(results, f, indent=2)
print(f"\nComparison saved to {cmp_path}")
for algo, m in results.items():
print(f" {algo:12s}: reward={m['reward_mean']:.2f} coi_erosion={m['coi_erosion_mean']:.4f} "
f"alpha_err={m['alpha_error_mean']:.4f}")
print(f" {algo:12s}: reward={m['reward_mean']:.2f} coi_erosion={m['coi_erosion_mean']:.4f} alpha_err={m['alpha_error_mean']:.4f}")
return results
@@ -312,6 +316,7 @@ def main():
parser.add_argument("--log-dir", default="lab/case/thesis/runs")
parser.add_argument("--sweep", action="store_true", help="run contamination sweep")
parser.add_argument("--compare", action="store_true", help="compare all baselines")
parser.add_argument("--workers", type=int, default=None, help="max parallel workers for sweep (None=auto, 1=sequential)")
args = parser.parse_args()
cfg = ExperimentConfig(algo=args.algo, total_timesteps=args.steps, alpha_true=args.alpha,
@@ -319,9 +324,9 @@ def main():
n_envs=args.n_envs, seed=args.seed, log_dir=args.log_dir)
if args.sweep:
run_sweep(cfg)
run_sweep(cfg, max_workers=args.workers)
elif args.compare:
compare_policies(cfg)
compare_policies(cfg, max_workers=args.workers)
else:
result = train(cfg)
print(f"\nTraining complete: {result['path']}")