preliminary improved runs

lab/case/thesis/simplified.py

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
 """Minimal implementation of thesis pricing system.
 
 Implements the core loop: prices -> sessions -> demand -> prices
-with behavioral separability and robust pricing objective (Eq 23).
+with behavioral separability and robust pricing objective.
 
 Objects:
-- Session trajectories τ_s from mixture of H/A behavioral profiles
+- Session trajectories tau_s from mixture of H/A behavioral profiles
-- Demand proxy q̂ via weighted action aggregation (Eq 2)
+- Demand proxy q_hat via weighted action aggregation
 - COI leakage penalty for agent reconnaissance
 - Limbo: alternating price/demand history for trajectory analysis
 """
@@ -14,11 +14,10 @@ from dataclasses import dataclass, field
 from typing import Dict, List, Tuple
 import numpy as np
 
+from .coi import COIWindow, compute_coi_window, coi_erosion
+from .separability import TRANS_H, TRANS_A, kl_div, build_kernel, compute_divergence, estimate_alpha
+
 ACTION_WEIGHTS = {"add_to_cart": 0.8, "checkout": 0.9, "purchase": 1.0, "view": 0.15, "detail": 0.25, "hover": 0.3, "start": 0.05, "end": 0.0}
-TRANS_H = {"start": {"view": 0.85, "end": 0.15}, "view": {"detail": 0.4, "cart": 0.3, "view": 0.2, "end": 0.1},
-           "detail": {"cart": 0.5, "view": 0.3, "end": 0.2}, "cart": {"purchase": 0.6, "view": 0.25, "end": 0.15}, "purchase": {"end": 1.0}}
-TRANS_A = {"start": {"view": 0.95, "end": 0.05}, "view": {"detail": 0.6, "view": 0.25, "cart": 0.1, "end": 0.05},
-           "detail": {"view": 0.5, "cart": 0.15, "detail": 0.3, "end": 0.05}, "cart": {"view": 0.4, "purchase": 0.2, "end": 0.4}, "purchase": {"end": 1.0}}
 
 
 @dataclass
@@ -38,235 +37,52 @@ class Session:
 
 
 def compute_demand(session: Session) -> float:
-    """Compute demand proxy q̂ = Σ_k ω(a_k) for session (Eq 2)."""
+    """Compute demand proxy q_hat = sum_k omega(a_k) for session."""
     return sum(ACTION_WEIGHTS.get(e.action, 0.1) for e in session.events)
 
 
-def kl_div(p: Dict[str, float], q: Dict[str, float]) -> float:
+def sample_trajectory(rng: np.random.Generator, trans: Dict, prices: np.ndarray, costs: np.ndarray, theta: Dict[str, float],
-    """KL divergence D_KL(p || q) for transition kernels."""
+                      is_agent: bool, session_noise: float = 0.02, surge: float = 0.08, max_mult: float = 1.8) -> Tuple[List[Event], int]:
-    eps = 1e-10
-    keys = set(p.keys()) | set(q.keys())
-    return sum(p.get(k, eps) * np.log((p.get(k, eps) + eps) / (q.get(k, eps) + eps)) for k in keys)
-
-
-def build_kernel(events: List[Event]) -> Dict[str, Dict[str, float]]:
-    """Build empirical transition kernel from trajectory."""
-    trans: Dict[str, Dict[str, int]] = {}
-    prev = "start"
-    for e in events:
-        curr = e.action
-        trans.setdefault(prev, {})
-        trans[prev][curr] = trans[prev].get(curr, 0) + 1
-        prev = curr
-    kernel = {}
-    for s, dsts in trans.items():
-        total = sum(dsts.values())
-        kernel[s] = {d: c / total for d, c in dsts.items()} if total > 0 else {}
-    return kernel
-
-
-def compute_divergence(session: Session) -> Tuple[float, float]:
-    """Compute Δ_H, Δ_A divergence signals (Eq 20-21)."""
-    kernel = build_kernel(session.events)
-    delta_h = sum(kl_div(kernel.get(s, {}), TRANS_H.get(s, {})) for s in kernel) / max(len(kernel), 1)
-    delta_a = sum(kl_div(kernel.get(s, {}), TRANS_A.get(s, {})) for s in kernel) / max(len(kernel), 1)
-    return delta_h, delta_a
-
-
-def estimate_alpha(session: Session, beta: float = 2.0) -> float:
-    """Per-session contamination estimate α̂(τ') = σ(β(Δ_H - Δ_A))."""
-    dh, da = compute_divergence(session)
-    return 1.0 / (1.0 + np.exp(-beta * (dh - da))) if (dh + da) > 0 else 0.5
-
-
-@dataclass(frozen=True)
-class COIWindow:
-    """Windowed COI metrics computed from realized price exposures.
-
-    COI_policy is the definition-level KPI: E[p_shown] - p_min.
-    COI_agent is the theorem-level object: E[p^(1)] - p_min, where p^(1) is the minimum price realized under agent querying.
-    In this simplified simulator, p^(1) is approximated as the minimum price exposed to any agent in the window (per product).
-    Leak is the observable gap between them.
-    """
-
-    policy: float
-    agent: float
-    leak: float
-    survival_ratio: float
-    policy_by_product: np.ndarray
-    agent_by_product: np.ndarray
-    demand_weights: np.ndarray
-
-
-def _prices_by_product(sessions: List[Session]) -> Dict[int, List[float]]:
-    prices: Dict[int, List[float]] = {}
-    for s in sessions:
-        for e in s.events:
-            prices.setdefault(e.product_idx, []).append(float(e.price_seen))
-    return prices
-
-
-def _min_session_prices_by_product(sessions: List[Session]) -> Dict[int, List[float]]:
-    mins: Dict[int, List[float]] = {}
-    for s in sessions:
-        by_p: Dict[int, float] = {}
-        for e in s.events:
-            pidx = int(e.product_idx)
-            price = float(e.price_seen)
-            by_p[pidx] = price if pidx not in by_p else min(by_p[pidx], price)
-        for pidx, pmin in by_p.items():
-            mins.setdefault(pidx, []).append(pmin)
-    return mins
-
-
-def _min_price_across_sessions_by_product(sessions: List[Session]) -> Dict[int, float]:
-    mins: Dict[int, float] = {}
-    for s in sessions:
-        for e in s.events:
-            pidx = int(e.product_idx)
-            price = float(e.price_seen)
-            mins[pidx] = price if pidx not in mins else min(mins[pidx], price)
-    return mins
-
-
-def _demand_weights_by_product(
-    sessions: List[Session],
-    demand_mapping: Dict[str, float],
-    n_products: int,
-) -> np.ndarray:
-    w = np.zeros(n_products, dtype=float)
-    sessions_by_id = {s.sid: s for s in sessions}
-    for sid, q in demand_mapping.items():
-        sess = sessions_by_id.get(sid)
-        if not sess or not sess.events:
-            continue
-        pidx = int(sess.events[0].product_idx)
-        w[pidx] += float(q)
-    s = float(np.sum(w))
-    return (w / s) if s > 0 else w
-
-
-def compute_coi_window(
-    sessions: List[Session],
-    costs: np.ndarray,
-    demand_mapping: Dict[str, float] | None = None,
-) -> COIWindow:
-    n_products = int(len(costs))
-    prices = _prices_by_product(sessions)
-    agent_min_across = _min_price_across_sessions_by_product([s for s in sessions if s.actor == "A"])
-
-    policy_by_product = np.zeros(n_products, dtype=float)
-    agent_by_product = np.zeros(n_products, dtype=float)
-    seen = np.array([(i in prices) for i in range(n_products)], dtype=bool)
-    agent_seen = np.array([(i in agent_min_across) for i in range(n_products)], dtype=bool)
-
-    for pidx, ps in prices.items():
-        if 0 <= pidx < n_products and ps:
-            policy_by_product[pidx] = float(np.mean(ps) - float(costs[pidx]))
-
-    for pidx, pmin in agent_min_across.items():
-        if 0 <= pidx < n_products:
-            agent_by_product[pidx] = float(pmin - float(costs[pidx]))
-
-    # If no agent exposure exists for a product in the window, there is no realized erosion for that product.
-    agent_by_product[seen & ~agent_seen] = policy_by_product[seen & ~agent_seen]
-
-    demand_weights = (
-        _demand_weights_by_product(sessions, demand_mapping, n_products)
-        if demand_mapping is not None
-        else np.zeros(n_products, dtype=float)
-    )
-
-    has_weights = float(np.sum(demand_weights)) > 0
-    if has_weights:
-        policy = float(np.dot(demand_weights, policy_by_product))
-        agent = float(np.dot(demand_weights, agent_by_product))
-    else:
-        if not bool(np.any(seen)):
-            policy = 0.0
-            agent = 0.0
-        else:
-            policy = float(np.mean(policy_by_product[seen]))
-            agent = float(np.mean(agent_by_product[seen]))
-
-    leak = float(max(policy - agent, 0.0))
-    survival_ratio = float(np.clip(agent / policy, 0.0, 1.0)) if policy > 0 else 0.0
-
-    return COIWindow(
-        policy=policy,
-        agent=agent,
-        leak=leak,
-        survival_ratio=survival_ratio,
-        policy_by_product=policy_by_product,
-        agent_by_product=agent_by_product,
-        demand_weights=demand_weights,
-    )
-
-
-def sample_trajectory(
-    rng: np.random.Generator,
-    trans: Dict,
-    prices: np.ndarray,
-    costs: np.ndarray,
-    theta: Dict[str, float],
-    is_agent: bool,
-    session_price_noise: float = 0.02,
-    surge: float = 0.08,
-    max_markup_mult: float = 1.8,
-) -> Tuple[List[Event], int]:
     """Sample session trajectory from behavioral kernel."""
-    state, t, pidx = "start", 0.0, int(rng.integers(0, len(prices)))
+    pidx = int(rng.integers(0, len(prices)))
-    cost = float(costs[pidx])
+    cost, base = float(costs[pidx]), float(prices[pidx]) * (1.0 + rng.normal(0.0, session_noise))
-    base_price = float(prices[pidx]) * float(1.0 + rng.normal(0.0, session_price_noise))
+    base = float(np.clip(base, cost * 1.01, float(prices[pidx]) * 2.0))
-    base_price = float(np.clip(base_price, cost * 1.01, float(prices[pidx]) * 2.0))
+    price, signal, state, t = base, 0.0, "start", 0.0
-    current_price = base_price
-    signal = 0.0
     events = []
-    # TODO: instead of this very controlled setup implement same session samplin as in models.py
+
     while state != "end" and len(events) < 30:
         probs = trans.get(state, {"end": 1.0})
         nxt = rng.choice(list(probs.keys()), p=list(probs.values()))
-
+        if nxt == "purchase":  # purchase conversion check
-        if nxt == "purchase":
+            rel = max((price - cost) / (cost + 1e-6), 0.0)
-            price_sens = float(theta.get("price_sens", 2.0))
+            p_buy = float(np.clip(theta.get("base_conv", 0.2) * np.exp(-theta.get("price_sens", 2.0) * rel), 0.0, 1.0))
-            base_conv = float(theta.get("base_conv", 0.2))
-            rel = max((current_price - cost) / (cost + 1e-6), 0.0)
-            p_buy = float(np.clip(base_conv * np.exp(-price_sens * rel), 0.0, 1.0))
             if rng.random() > p_buy:
                 nxt = "end"
-
         state = nxt
         if state not in {"start", "end"}:
-            events.append(Event(action=state, product_idx=pidx, price_seen=float(current_price), ts=t))
+            events.append(Event(action=state, product_idx=pidx, price_seen=float(price), ts=t))
             signal += float(ACTION_WEIGHTS.get(state, 0.1))
-            current_price = float(np.clip(base_price * (1.0 + surge * signal), cost * 1.01, base_price * max_markup_mult))
+            price = float(np.clip(base * (1.0 + surge * signal), cost * 1.01, base * max_mult))
-
         t += max(0.2, rng.gamma(1.5, 0.8) if is_agent else rng.gamma(2.0, 1.2))
     return events, pidx
 
 
 def put_prices_to_market(prices: np.ndarray, costs: np.ndarray, alpha: float = 0.2, n_sessions: int = 50,
                          seed: int | None = None) -> Tuple[List[Session], Dict[str, float]]:
-    """Generate sessions from mixture model
+    """Generate sessions from mixture model. Returns sessions and demand mapping sid -> q_hat."""
-
-    Returns:
-        sessions: list of Session objects with events and product attribution
-        demand_mapping: session_id -> demand proxy q̂
-    """
     rng = np.random.default_rng(seed)
-    sessions, demand_mapping = [], {}
+    sessions, demand = [], {}
-
     for i in range(n_sessions):
         sid = f"s{i:04d}"
         is_agent = rng.random() < alpha
         trans = TRANS_A if is_agent else TRANS_H
-        theta = {"price_sens": rng.uniform(0.05, 0.2), "base_conv": 0.01} if is_agent else {"price_sens": rng.uniform(1.5, 4.0), "base_conv": rng.uniform(0.2, 0.5)}
+        theta = {"price_sens": rng.uniform(0.05, 0.2), "base_conv": 0.01} if is_agent else \
+                {"price_sens": rng.uniform(1.5, 4.0), "base_conv": rng.uniform(0.2, 0.5)}
         events, _ = sample_trajectory(rng, trans, prices, costs=costs, theta=theta, is_agent=is_agent)
         session = Session(sid=sid, events=events, actor="A" if is_agent else "H", theta=theta)
         sessions.append(session)
-        demand_mapping[sid] = compute_demand(session)
+        demand[sid] = compute_demand(session)
-
+    return sessions, demand
-    return sessions, demand_mapping
 
 
 @dataclass
@@ -286,13 +102,7 @@ class Limbo:
     def add_update(self, utype: str, data: np.ndarray | Dict[str, float]) -> Dict:
         self.history.append(LimboUpdate(utype=utype, data=data, t=self._t))
         self._t += 1
-        return self.on_update(utype)
+        return {"action": "observe_demand" if utype == "prices" else "set_prices"}
-
-    def on_update(self, utype: str) -> Dict:
-        """React to update: after prices -> return observed demand; after demand -> signal price update needed."""
-        if utype == "prices":
-            return {"action": "observe_demand", "msg": "awaiting market response"}
-        return {"action": "set_prices", "msg": "demand observed, update prices"}
 
     def get_prices_history(self) -> List[np.ndarray]:
         return [u.data for u in self.history if u.utype == "prices"]
@@ -304,21 +114,18 @@ class Limbo:
 class System:
     """Main pricing system implementing robust Stackelberg objective.
 
-    Manages the alternating loop:
+    Manages the alternating loop: set prices p_t -> observe demand Q_hat(p_t) ->
-    1. Set prices p_t
+    estimate contamination alpha from behavioral signals -> compute next prices.
-    2. Observe demand response Q̂(p_t)
-    3. Estimate contamination α from behavioral signals
-    4. Compute next prices via robust objective (Eq 23)
     """
 
     def __init__(self, n_products: int = 10, costs: np.ndarray | None = None, lambda_coi: float = 0.5, seed: int | None = 42):
         self.n = n_products
         self.rng = np.random.default_rng(seed)
         self.costs = costs if costs is not None else self.rng.uniform(10, 50, n_products)
-        self.refs = self.costs * (1 + self.rng.uniform(0.2, 0.5, n_products))  # base prices with margin
+        self.refs = self.costs * (1 + self.rng.uniform(0.2, 0.5, n_products))
         self.lambda_coi = lambda_coi
         self.limbo = Limbo()
-        self._alpha_est = 0.2  # current contamination estimate
+        self._alpha_est = 0.2
         self._sessions: List[Session] = []
         self._last_sessions: List[Session] = []
         self._last_coi: COIWindow | None = None
@@ -328,127 +135,73 @@ class System:
         return self._alpha_est
 
     def _estimate_alpha_from_sessions(self) -> float:
-        """Aggregate per-session α̂ estimates."""
         if not self._sessions:
             return self._alpha_est
-        alphas = [estimate_alpha(s) for s in self._sessions[-50:]]  # use recent sessions
+        return float(np.mean([estimate_alpha(s) for s in self._sessions[-50:]]))
-        return float(np.mean(alphas))
 
     def _revenue_under_demand(self, prices: np.ndarray, demand: Dict[str, float]) -> float:
-        """Compute expected revenue R(p, d) from demand proxy."""
+        agg = np.zeros(self.n)
-        agg_demand = np.zeros(self.n)
         for sid, q in demand.items():
-            if self._sessions:
+            sess = next((s for s in self._sessions if s.sid == sid), None)
-                sess = next((s for s in self._sessions if s.sid == sid), None)
+            if sess and sess.events:
-                if sess and sess.events:
+                agg[sess.events[0].product_idx] += q
-                    pidx = sess.events[0].product_idx
+        return float(np.dot(prices, agg))
-                    agg_demand[pidx] += q
-        return float(np.dot(prices, agg_demand))
 
     def _compute_coi_window(self, demand: Dict[str, float]) -> COIWindow:
         if not self._last_sessions:
             zeros = np.zeros(self.n, dtype=float)
-            return COIWindow(
+            return COIWindow(policy=0.0, agent=0.0, leak=0.0, survival_ratio=0.0,
-                policy=0.0,
+                             policy_by_product=zeros, agent_by_product=zeros, demand_weights=zeros)
-                agent=0.0,
-                leak=0.0,
-                survival_ratio=0.0,
-                policy_by_product=zeros,
-                agent_by_product=zeros,
-                demand_weights=zeros,
-            )
         return compute_coi_window(self._last_sessions, self.costs, demand_mapping=demand)
 
     def _objective(self, prices: np.ndarray, demand: Dict[str, float]) -> float:
-        """Robust objective: R(p,d) - λ·COI_leak (Eq 23 simplified)."""
+        """Robust objective: R(p,d) - lambda * COI_leak."""
-        revenue = self._revenue_under_demand(prices, demand)
+        profit = self._revenue_under_demand(prices, demand) - float(np.sum(self.costs))
-        cost = float(np.sum(self.costs))  # fixed cost approximation
-        profit = revenue - cost
         self._last_coi = self._compute_coi_window(demand)
         return profit - self.lambda_coi * self._last_coi.leak
 
     def compute_prices(self, demand: Dict[str, float] | None = None) -> np.ndarray:
-        """Compute next prices via simple gradient-like update on robust objective.
+        """Compute next prices via heuristic margin adjustment based on alpha estimate."""
-
-        In a full implementation this would be replaced by DR-RL policy output.
-        Here we use a heuristic: adjust margins based on α estimate.
-        """
         self._alpha_est = self._estimate_alpha_from_sessions()
-
+        margin_scale = 1.0 - 0.5 * self._alpha_est  # defensive pricing under high contamination
-        # base margin adjustment: higher α -> lower margins (defensive pricing)
-        margin_scale = 1.0 - 0.5 * self._alpha_est  # reduce margins under high contamination
         margins = (self.refs - self.costs) * margin_scale
-
-        # add small noise for exploration
         noise = self.rng.normal(0, 0.02, self.n) * self.costs
         prices = np.clip(self.costs + margins + noise, self.costs * 1.02, self.refs * 1.3)
-
         self.limbo.add_update("prices", prices)
         return prices
 
     def observe_demand(self, prices: np.ndarray, alpha_true: float = 0.2, n_sessions: int = 50) -> Dict[str, float]:
-        """Observe market response to prices."""
+        sessions, demand_map = put_prices_to_market(prices, costs=self.costs, alpha=alpha_true,
-        sessions, demand_map = put_prices_to_market(prices, costs=self.costs, alpha=alpha_true, n_sessions=n_sessions, seed=int(self.rng.integers(0, 10000)))
+                                                    n_sessions=n_sessions, seed=int(self.rng.integers(0, 10000)))
         self._last_sessions = sessions
-        self._sessions.extend(sessions)  # store actual sessions for correct product attribution
+        self._sessions.extend(sessions)
         self.limbo.add_update("demand", demand_map)
         return demand_map
 
     def step(self, alpha_true: float = 0.2, n_sessions: int = 50) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, Dict[str, float], float, COIWindow]:
-        """Single simulation step: prices -> demand -> reward."""
         demand_hist = self.limbo.get_demand_history()
         prices = self.compute_prices(demand_hist[-1] if demand_hist else None)
         demand = self.observe_demand(prices, alpha_true, n_sessions)
         reward = self._objective(prices, demand)
-        coi = self._last_coi or self._compute_coi_window(demand)
+        return prices, demand, reward, self._last_coi or self._compute_coi_window(demand)
-        return prices, demand, reward, coi
 
     def run(self, n_steps: int = 100, alpha_true: float = 0.2) -> Dict:
-        """Run simulation for n_steps, return trajectory."""
+        traj = {"prices": [], "demand": [], "rewards": [], "alpha_est": [], "alpha_true": alpha_true,
-        trajectory = {
+                "coi_policy": [], "coi_agent": [], "coi_leak": [], "coi_survival": []}
-            "prices": [],
-            "demand": [],
-            "rewards": [],
-            "alpha_est": [],
-            "alpha_true": alpha_true,
-            "coi_policy": [],
-            "coi_agent": [],
-            "coi_leak": [],
-            "coi_survival": [],
-        }
         for _ in range(n_steps):
             p, d, r, coi = self.step(alpha_true)
-            trajectory["prices"].append(p)
+            traj["prices"].append(p); traj["demand"].append(d); traj["rewards"].append(r)
-            trajectory["demand"].append(d)
+            traj["alpha_est"].append(self._alpha_est)
-            trajectory["rewards"].append(r)
+            traj["coi_policy"].append(coi.policy); traj["coi_agent"].append(coi.agent)
-            trajectory["alpha_est"].append(self._alpha_est)
+            traj["coi_leak"].append(coi.leak); traj["coi_survival"].append(coi.survival_ratio)
-            trajectory["coi_policy"].append(coi.policy)
+        return traj
-            trajectory["coi_agent"].append(coi.agent)
-            trajectory["coi_leak"].append(coi.leak)
-            trajectory["coi_survival"].append(coi.survival_ratio)
-        return trajectory
-
-
-def coi_erosion(n_agents: int, price_std: float) -> float:
-    """COI erosion from Theorem 1: as N->inf, min(p_1..p_N)->p_min."""
-    if n_agents <= 1:
-        return 0.0
-    log_n = np.log(n_agents)
-    shift = price_std * (np.sqrt(2 * log_n) - (np.log(log_n) + np.log(4 * np.pi)) / (2 * np.sqrt(2 * log_n) + 1e-6))
-    return float(min(shift / (price_std * 2 + 1e-6), 1.0))
 
 
 if __name__ == "__main__":
-    # quick demo
     sys = System(n_products=5, seed=42)
     traj = sys.run(n_steps=20, alpha_true=0.25)
-    print(
+    print(f"avg reward: {np.mean(traj['rewards']):.2f}, final alpha_hat: {traj['alpha_est'][-1]:.3f}, "
-        f"avg reward: {np.mean(traj['rewards']):.2f}, "
+          f"COI_policy: {np.mean(traj['coi_policy']):.3f}, COI_agent: {np.mean(traj['coi_agent']):.3f}, leak: {np.mean(traj['coi_leak']):.3f}")
-        f"final α̂: {traj['alpha_est'][-1]:.3f}, "
-        f"COI_policy: {np.mean(traj['coi_policy']):.3f}, "
-        f"COI_agent: {np.mean(traj['coi_agent']):.3f}, "
-        f"leak: {np.mean(traj['coi_leak']):.3f}"
-    )
 
     prices = np.array([20.0, 35.0, 50.0, 25.0, 40.0])
     costs = np.array([15.0, 28.0, 40.0, 18.0, 30.0])
@@ -456,16 +209,10 @@ if __name__ == "__main__":
     print(f'sessions: {len(sessions)}, agents: {sum(1 for s in sessions if s.actor=="A")}')
 
     for n in [1, 5, 10, 50, 100]:
-        ero = coi_erosion(n, price_std=5.0)
+        print(f'N={n:3d} agents -> COI erosion: {coi_erosion(n, price_std=5.0):.3f}')
-        print(f'N={n:3d} agents -> COI erosion: {ero:.3f}')
 
-    # test separability
+    events = [Event('view', 0, 20.0, 0.1), Event('detail', 0, 20.0, 0.5), Event('cart', 0, 20.0, 1.0), Event('purchase', 0, 20.0, 2.0)]
-    events = [Event('view', 0, 20.0, 0.1), Event('detail', 0, 20.0, 0.5), Event('cart', 0, 20.0, 1.0),
+    print(f'human-like session alpha_hat: {estimate_alpha(Session(sid="test", events=events, actor="H")):.3f}')
-    Event('purchase', 0, 20.0, 2.0)]
-    sess_h = Session(sid='test', events=events, actor='H')
-    print(f'human-like session α̂: {estimate_alpha(sess_h):.3f}')
 
-    events_a = [Event('view', 0, 20.0, 0.1), Event('detail', 0, 20.0, 0.2), Event('view', 0, 20.0, 0.3),
+    events_a = [Event('view', 0, 20.0, 0.1), Event('detail', 0, 20.0, 0.2), Event('view', 0, 20.0, 0.3), Event('detail', 0, 20.0, 0.4)]
-    Event('detail', 0, 20.0, 0.4)]
+    print(f'agent-like session alpha_hat: {estimate_alpha(Session(sid="test2", events=events_a, actor="A")):.3f}')
-    sess_a = Session(sid='test2', events=events_a, actor='A')
-    print(f'agent-like session α̂: {estimate_alpha(sess_a):.3f}')

lab/case/thesis/simplified_env.py

@@ -19,58 +19,45 @@ try:
 except ImportError:
     HAS_GYM = False
 
-from .simplified import (
+from .simplified import System, Session, Event, Limbo, put_prices_to_market, compute_demand, estimate_alpha
-    System,
+from .coi import COIWindow, compute_coi_window, coi_erosion
-    Session,
-    Event,
-    Limbo,
-    put_prices_to_market,
-    compute_coi_window,
-    compute_demand,
-    estimate_alpha,
-    coi_erosion,
-    TRANS_H,
-    TRANS_A,
-)
 
 
 @dataclass
 class EnvConfig:
-    """Configuration for pricing environment."""
     n_products: int = 5
     max_steps: int = 200
     sessions_per_step: int = 30
-    alpha_true: float = 0.2           # true contamination level
+    alpha_true: float = 0.2
-    alpha_drift: float = 0.0          # per-step drift in α
+    alpha_drift: float = 0.0
     alpha_bounds: Tuple[float, float] = (0.0, 0.6)
-    lambda_coi: float = 0.5           # COI penalty weight
+    lambda_coi: float = 0.5
-    lambda_vol: float = 0.1           # volatility penalty weight
+    lambda_vol: float = 0.1
-    reward_mode: str = "robust"       # revenue | profit | robust | coi_aware
+    reward_mode: str = "robust"  # revenue | profit | robust | coi_aware
     normalize_reward: bool = True
     seed: int | None = 42
 
 
+def aggregate_purchases(sessions: list[Session], n_products: int, costs: np.ndarray) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, float, float]:
+    """Aggregate purchases from sessions, returns (counts, revenue, cost)."""
+    purchases = np.zeros(n_products, dtype=float)
+    revenue, cost = 0.0, 0.0
+    for sess in sessions:
+        for e in sess.events:
+            if e.action == "purchase" and 0 <= e.product_idx < n_products:
+                purchases[e.product_idx] += 1.0
+                revenue += float(e.price_seen)
+                cost += float(costs[e.product_idx])
+    return purchases, revenue, cost
+
+
 class PricingEnv(gym.Env if HAS_GYM else object):
     """RL environment for dynamic pricing under agent contamination.
 
-    Implements the thesis formulation where:
+    Platform sets prices p_t, market responds with mixture demand Q(p) = (1-alpha)*D_H + alpha*D_A.
-    - Platform sets prices p_t
+    Agent estimates contamination alpha_hat from behavioral signals.
-    - Market responds with mixture demand Q(p) = (1-α)D_H + αD_A
+    Reward balances profit vs COI leakage.
-    - Agent estimates contamination α̂ from behavioral signals
-    - Reward balances profit vs COI leakage
-
-    Observation space (normalized):
-        [0:n]     - current prices / ref_prices
-        [n:2n]    - aggregated demand per product
-        [2n]      - estimated contamination α̂
-        [2n+1]    - true contamination α (if observable, else 0)
-        [2n+2:3n+2] - current margins (prices - costs) / costs
-        [3n+2]    - step / max_steps
-
-    Action space:
-        price multipliers in [0.5, 1.5] applied to reference prices
     """
-
     metadata = {"render_modes": ["human", "ansi"]}
 
     def __init__(self, cfg: EnvConfig | None = None):
@@ -86,34 +73,23 @@ class PricingEnv(gym.Env if HAS_GYM else object):
         self._episode_rewards: list[float] = []
         self._demand_agg = np.zeros(self.n)
 
-        # gymnasium spaces
         self.action_space = spaces.Box(low=0.5, high=1.5, shape=(self.n,), dtype=np.float32)
-        obs_dim = self.n + self.n + 1 + 1 + self.n + 1  # prices + demand + α̂ + α + margins + t
+        obs_dim = self.n + self.n + 1 + 1 + self.n + 1  # prices + demand + alpha_hat + alpha + margins + t
         self.observation_space = spaces.Box(low=-np.inf, high=np.inf, shape=(obs_dim,), dtype=np.float32)
 
     def _build_obs(self) -> np.ndarray:
-        """Construct observation vector."""
         if self._sys is None:
             return np.zeros(self.observation_space.shape[0], dtype=np.float32)
-
         prices = self._last_prices if self._last_prices is not None else self._sys.refs
-        price_ratio = prices / (self._sys.refs + 1e-6)
+        return np.concatenate([
-        demand_norm = self._demand_agg / (np.sum(self._demand_agg) + 1e-6)
+            prices / (self._sys.refs + 1e-6),
-        margins = (prices - self._sys.costs) / (self._sys.costs + 1e-6)
+            self._demand_agg / (np.sum(self._demand_agg) + 1e-6),
-        t_norm = self._t / self.cfg.max_steps
+            [self._sys.alpha, self._alpha],
-
+            (prices - self._sys.costs) / (self._sys.costs + 1e-6),
-        obs = np.concatenate([
+            [self._t / self.cfg.max_steps],
-            price_ratio,                          # [0:n]
+        ]).astype(np.float32)
-            demand_norm,                          # [n:2n]
-            [self._sys.alpha],                    # [2n] estimated α̂
-            [self._alpha],                        # [2n+1] true α
-            margins,                              # [2n+2:3n+2]
-            [t_norm],                             # [3n+2]
-        ])
-        return obs.astype(np.float32)
 
     def _compute_reward(self, prices: np.ndarray, demand: Dict[str, float]) -> float:
-        """Compute reward based on configured mode."""
         cfg, sys = self.cfg, self._sys
         if sys is None:
             return 0.0
@@ -123,159 +99,77 @@ class PricingEnv(gym.Env if HAS_GYM else object):
         for sid, q in demand.items():
             sess = next((s for s in sys._sessions if s.sid == sid), None)
             if sess and sess.events:
-                pidx = sess.events[0].product_idx
+                agg[sess.events[0].product_idx] += q
-                agg[pidx] += q
         self._demand_agg = agg
 
-        revenue = 0.0
+        _, revenue, cost = aggregate_purchases(sys._last_sessions, self.n, sys.costs)
-        cost = 0.0
+        profit = revenue - cost
-        purchases = np.zeros(self.n, dtype=float)
-        for sess in sys._last_sessions:
-            for e in sess.events:
-                if e.action != "purchase":
-                    continue
-                pidx = int(e.product_idx)
-                if 0 <= pidx < self.n:
-                    purchases[pidx] += 1.0
-                    revenue += float(e.price_seen)
-                    cost += float(sys.costs[pidx])
-        profit = float(revenue - cost)
 
-        # volatility penalty (price changes)
         vol_penalty = 0.0
         if self._last_prices is not None:
-            price_change = np.abs(prices - self._last_prices) / (sys.refs + 1e-6)
+            vol_penalty = cfg.lambda_vol * float(np.mean(np.abs(prices - self._last_prices) / (sys.refs + 1e-6)))
-            vol_penalty = cfg.lambda_vol * float(np.mean(price_change))
 
         coi = compute_coi_window(sys._last_sessions, sys.costs, demand_mapping=demand)
-        coi_leak = float(coi.leak)
+        leak = float(coi.leak)
 
-        if cfg.reward_mode == "revenue":
+        reward_fns = {
-            r = revenue
+            "revenue": lambda: revenue,
-        elif cfg.reward_mode == "profit":
+            "profit": lambda: profit,
-            r = profit
+            "robust": lambda: profit - cfg.lambda_coi * leak - vol_penalty,
-        elif cfg.reward_mode == "robust":
+            "coi_aware": lambda: profit - cfg.lambda_coi * (1 + 2 * sys.alpha) * leak - vol_penalty,
-            # robust objective: profit - λ_coi * COI_leak - λ_vol * volatility
+        }
-            r = profit - cfg.lambda_coi * coi_leak - vol_penalty
+        r = reward_fns.get(cfg.reward_mode, lambda: profit)()
-        elif cfg.reward_mode == "coi_aware":
+        return float(r / (float(np.sum(sys.refs)) + 1e-6)) if cfg.normalize_reward else float(r)
-            # adaptive: heavier penalty at high contamination
-            adaptive_lambda = cfg.lambda_coi * (1 + 2 * sys.alpha)
-            r = profit - adaptive_lambda * coi_leak - vol_penalty
-        else:
-            r = profit
-
-        if cfg.normalize_reward:
-            r = r / (float(np.sum(sys.refs)) + 1e-6)  # normalize by potential revenue
-
-        return float(r)
 
     def reset(self, seed: int | None = None, options: dict | None = None) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, dict]:
-        """Reset environment to initial state."""
         seed = seed if seed is not None else self.cfg.seed
         self._sys = System(n_products=self.n, lambda_coi=self.cfg.lambda_coi, seed=seed)
-        self._t = 0
+        self._t, self._alpha = 0, self.cfg.alpha_true
-        self._alpha = self.cfg.alpha_true
+        self._last_prices, self._last_demand = None, None
-        self._last_prices = None
+        self._episode_rewards, self._demand_agg = [], np.zeros(self.n)
-        self._last_demand = None
+        return self._build_obs(), {"alpha_true": self._alpha, "alpha_est": self._sys.alpha,
-        self._episode_rewards = []
+                                   "costs": self._sys.costs.copy(), "refs": self._sys.refs.copy()}
-        self._demand_agg = np.zeros(self.n)
-
-        info = {"alpha_true": self._alpha, "alpha_est": self._sys.alpha,
-                "costs": self._sys.costs.copy(), "refs": self._sys.refs.copy()}
-        return self._build_obs(), info
 
     def step(self, action: np.ndarray) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, float, bool, bool, dict]:
-        """Execute one environment step.
-
-        Args:
-            action: price multipliers in [0.5, 1.5]
-
-        Returns:
-            obs, reward, terminated, truncated, info
-        """
         if self._sys is None:
             raise RuntimeError("call reset() first")
 
-        # convert action to prices
         action = np.clip(action, 0.5, 1.5)
-        prices = self._sys.refs * action.astype(np.float64)
+        prices = np.clip(self._sys.refs * action.astype(np.float64), self._sys.costs * 1.01, self._sys.refs * 2.0)
-        prices = np.clip(prices, self._sys.costs * 1.01, self._sys.refs * 2.0)
-
-        # # drift contamination
-        # if self.cfg.alpha_drift != 0:
-        #     self._alpha = np.clip(
-        #         self._alpha + self.cfg.alpha_drift * self._sys.rng.normal(),
-        #         *self.cfg.alpha_bounds)
-
-        # observe demand
         demand = self._sys.observe_demand(prices, alpha_true=self._alpha, n_sessions=self.cfg.sessions_per_step)
         self._sys.limbo.add_update("prices", prices)
-
-        # update α estimate
         self._sys._alpha_est = self._sys._estimate_alpha_from_sessions()
 
         reward = self._compute_reward(prices, demand)
         self._episode_rewards.append(reward)
-
+        self._last_prices, self._last_demand = prices.copy(), demand
-        self._last_prices = prices.copy()
-        self._last_demand = demand
         self._t += 1
 
-        terminated = self._t >= self.cfg.max_steps
+        # compute info metrics using shared helper
-        truncated = False
+        purchases, revenue, cost = aggregate_purchases(self._sys._last_sessions, self.n, self._sys.costs)
-
-        # compute metrics for tracking
-        revenue = 0.0
-        cost = 0.0
-        n_purchases = 0
-        for sess in self._sys._last_sessions:
-            for e in sess.events:
-                if e.action != "purchase":
-                    continue
-                n_purchases += 1
-                revenue += float(e.price_seen)
-                cost += float(self._sys.costs[int(e.product_idx)])
-        profit = float(revenue - cost)
         n_agents = int(self._alpha * self.cfg.sessions_per_step)
-        price_std = float(np.std(prices))
         coi = compute_coi_window(self._sys._last_sessions, self._sys.costs, demand_mapping=demand)
 
         info = {
-            "alpha_true": self._alpha,
+            "alpha_true": self._alpha, "alpha_est": self._sys.alpha,
-            "alpha_est": self._sys.alpha,
             "alpha_error": abs(self._alpha - self._sys.alpha),
-            "revenue": float(revenue),
+            "revenue": float(revenue), "profit": float(revenue - cost), "cost": float(cost),
-            "profit": float(profit),
+            "n_purchases": int(np.sum(purchases)),
-            "cost": float(cost),
-            "n_purchases": int(n_purchases),
             "avg_margin": float(np.mean((prices - self._sys.costs) / self._sys.costs)),
-            "n_sessions": len(demand),
+            "n_sessions": len(demand), "n_agents": n_agents, "price_std": float(np.std(prices)),
-            "n_agents": n_agents,
+            "coi_erosion": coi_erosion(max(1, n_agents), float(np.std(prices))),
-            "price_std": price_std,
+            "coi_policy": float(coi.policy), "coi_agent": float(coi.agent),
-            "coi_erosion": coi_erosion(max(1, n_agents), price_std),
+            "coi_leakage": float(coi.leak), "coi_survival": float(coi.survival_ratio),
-            "coi_policy": float(coi.policy),
+            "cumulative_reward": sum(self._episode_rewards), "step": self._t,
-            "coi_agent": float(coi.agent),
-            "coi_leakage": float(coi.leak),
-            "coi_survival": float(coi.survival_ratio),
-            "cumulative_reward": sum(self._episode_rewards),
-            "step": self._t,
         }
-
+        return self._build_obs(), reward, self._t >= self.cfg.max_steps, False, info
-        return self._build_obs(), reward, terminated, truncated, info
 
     def render(self, mode: str = "human") -> str | None:
-        """Render environment state."""
         if self._sys is None or self._last_prices is None:
             return None
-
+        out = f"t={self._t}/{self.cfg.max_steps} | alpha_true={self._alpha:.3f} alpha_hat={self._sys.alpha:.3f} | " \
-        lines = [
+              f"prices: {self._last_prices.round(1)} | demand: {self._demand_agg.round(2)} | " \
-            f"t={self._t}/{self.cfg.max_steps}",
+              f"reward: {self._episode_rewards[-1] if self._episode_rewards else 0:.3f}"
-            f"α_true={self._alpha:.3f} α̂={self._sys.alpha:.3f}",
-            f"prices: {self._last_prices.round(1)}",
-            f"demand: {self._demand_agg.round(2)}",
-            f"reward: {self._episode_rewards[-1] if self._episode_rewards else 0:.3f}",
-        ]
-        out = " | ".join(lines)
         if mode == "human":
             print(out)
         return out
@@ -285,10 +179,7 @@ class PricingEnv(gym.Env if HAS_GYM else object):
 
 
 class ContaminationSweepEnv(PricingEnv):
-    """Environment that sweeps through contamination levels during training.
+    """Environment that sweeps through contamination levels during training."""
-
-    Useful for curriculum learning: start with low α, gradually increase.
-    """
 
     def __init__(self, cfg: EnvConfig | None = None, alpha_schedule: list[float] | None = None):
         super().__init__(cfg)
@@ -296,7 +187,6 @@ class ContaminationSweepEnv(PricingEnv):
         self._schedule_idx = 0
 
     def reset(self, seed: int | None = None, options: dict | None = None) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, dict]:
-        # advance schedule on reset
         if options and options.get("advance_schedule", False):
             self._schedule_idx = (self._schedule_idx + 1) % len(self._schedule)
         self.cfg.alpha_true = self._schedule[self._schedule_idx]
@@ -306,8 +196,7 @@ class ContaminationSweepEnv(PricingEnv):
 class AdversarialEnv(PricingEnv):
     """Environment with adversarial contamination dynamics.
 
-    The contamination level responds to pricing policy: if prices are too predictable,
+    Contamination increases when prices are predictable (agents exploit).
-    agents learn to exploit and α increases.
     """
 
     def __init__(self, cfg: EnvConfig | None = None, exploitation_rate: float = 0.02):
@@ -317,20 +206,13 @@ class AdversarialEnv(PricingEnv):
 
     def step(self, action: np.ndarray) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, float, bool, bool, dict]:
         obs, reward, term, trunc, info = super().step(action)
-
-        # track price history for predictability
         if self._last_prices is not None:
             self._price_history.append(self._last_prices.copy())
-
+        predictability = 0.0
-        # increase α if prices are predictable (low variance over recent history)
         if len(self._price_history) > 10:
-            recent = np.array(self._price_history[-10:])
+            predictability = 1.0 / (float(np.std(self._price_history[-10:])) + 0.1)
-            predictability = 1.0 / (float(np.std(recent)) + 0.1)
+            self._alpha = np.clip(self._alpha + self._exploit_rate * predictability * self._sys.rng.random(), *self.cfg.alpha_bounds)
-            self._alpha = np.clip(
+        info["predictability"] = predictability
-                self._alpha + self._exploit_rate * predictability * self._sys.rng.random(),
-                *self.cfg.alpha_bounds)
-
-        info["predictability"] = predictability if len(self._price_history) > 10 else 0.0
         return obs, reward, term, trunc, info
 
     def reset(self, seed: int | None = None, options: dict | None = None) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, dict]:
@@ -339,39 +221,20 @@ class AdversarialEnv(PricingEnv):
 
 
 def make_env(cfg: EnvConfig | None = None, env_type: str = "standard") -> PricingEnv:
-    """Factory for creating pricing environments."""
+    return {"sweep": ContaminationSweepEnv, "adversarial": AdversarialEnv}.get(env_type, PricingEnv)(cfg)
-    if env_type == "sweep":
-        return ContaminationSweepEnv(cfg)
-    elif env_type == "adversarial":
-        return AdversarialEnv(cfg)
-    return PricingEnv(cfg)
 
 
-# simple baseline policies for benchmarking
+# baseline policies
-def fixed_price_policy(refs: np.ndarray, margin: float = 0.0) -> np.ndarray:
+fixed_price_policy = lambda refs, margin=0.0: np.ones(len(refs), dtype=np.float32) * (1.0 + margin)
-    """Fixed markup policy: always return ref * (1 + margin)."""
+random_policy = lambda n, rng=None: (rng or np.random.default_rng()).uniform(0.7, 1.3, n).astype(np.float32)
-    return np.ones(len(refs), dtype=np.float32) * (1.0 + margin)
+adaptive_policy = lambda obs, n, base=0.1: np.ones(n, dtype=np.float32) * (1.0 + base * (1.0 - 0.4 * obs[2 * n]))
-
-
-def random_policy(n: int, rng: np.random.Generator | None = None) -> np.ndarray:
-    """Random policy for exploration baseline."""
-    rng = rng or np.random.default_rng()
-    return rng.uniform(0.7, 1.3, n).astype(np.float32)
-
-
-def adaptive_policy(obs: np.ndarray, n: int, base_margin: float = 0.1) -> np.ndarray:
-    """Simple adaptive policy: reduce margins when α̂ is high."""
-    alpha_est = obs[2 * n]  # α̂ is at position 2n in observation
-    margin_scale = 1.0 - 0.4 * alpha_est  # defensive when α̂ high
-    return np.ones(n, dtype=np.float32) * (1.0 + base_margin * margin_scale)
 
 
 if __name__ == "__main__":
-    # demo run
     cfg = EnvConfig(n_products=100, max_steps=100, alpha_true=0.25, reward_mode="robust")
     env = make_env(cfg)
     obs, info = env.reset()
-    print(f"initial: α={info['alpha_true']:.2f}")
+    print(f"initial: alpha={info['alpha_true']:.2f}")
 
     total_reward = 0.0
     for t in range(cfg.max_steps):
@@ -383,4 +246,4 @@ if __name__ == "__main__":
         if done:
             break
 
-    print(f"\ntotal reward: {total_reward:.2f}, final α̂: {info['alpha_est']:.3f}")
+    print(f"\ntotal reward: {total_reward:.2f}, final alpha_hat: {info['alpha_est']:.3f}")

lab/case/thesis/train.py

@@ -6,7 +6,8 @@ Tracks COI erosion, alpha estimation error, and economic KPIs per thesis formula
 from __future__ import annotations
 import argparse
 import json
-from dataclasses import dataclass, asdict
+from concurrent.futures import ProcessPoolExecutor, as_completed
+from dataclasses import dataclass, asdict, field
 from pathlib import Path
 from typing import Dict, List, Callable, Any
 import numpy as np
@@ -27,10 +28,9 @@ except ImportError:
     HAS_TB = False
 
 from .simplified_env import PricingEnv, EnvConfig, make_env, adaptive_policy, fixed_price_policy, random_policy
-from .simplified import coi_erosion
+from .coi import coi_erosion
 
 
-# thesis-aligned KPIs tracked per episode
 @dataclass
 class EpisodeMetrics:
     reward: float = 0.0
@@ -43,10 +43,24 @@ class EpisodeMetrics:
     n_agents: int = 0
     steps: int = 0
 
+    def accumulate(self, info: Dict[str, Any]) -> None:
+        self.steps += 1
+        self.reward += info.get('reward', 0)
+        self.revenue += info.get('revenue', 0)
+        self.profit += info.get('profit', 0)
+        self.coi_erosion += info.get('coi_erosion', 0)
+        self.coi_leakage += info.get('coi_leakage', 0)
+        self.alpha_error += abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0))
+        self.avg_margin += info.get('avg_margin', 0)
+        self.n_agents += info.get('n_agents', 0)
+
+    def normalized(self) -> Dict[str, float]:
+        s = max(self.steps, 1)
+        return {k: getattr(self, k) / s for k in ['revenue', 'profit', 'coi_erosion', 'coi_leakage', 'alpha_error', 'avg_margin', 'n_agents']}
+
 
 @dataclass
 class ExperimentConfig:
-    """Full experiment specification for reproducibility."""
     algo: str = "ppo"
     total_timesteps: int = 100_000
     n_envs: int = 4
@@ -65,17 +79,14 @@ class ExperimentConfig:
             self.experiment_name = f"{self.algo}_a{self.alpha_true:.2f}_{self.reward_mode}"
 
 
-# unified policy interface wrapping all baselines
 class Policy:
     """Unified policy interface for baselines and trained models."""
 
     def __init__(self, policy_fn: Callable[[np.ndarray, int], np.ndarray], name: str):
-        self._fn = policy_fn
+        self._fn, self.name = policy_fn, name
-        self.name = name
 
     def predict(self, obs: np.ndarray, deterministic: bool = True) -> tuple[np.ndarray, None]:
-        n = (len(obs) - 3) // 3
+        return self._fn(obs, (len(obs) - 3) // 3), None
-        return self._fn(obs, n), None
 
     @staticmethod
     def fixed(margin: float = 0.15) -> "Policy":
@@ -91,99 +102,97 @@ class Policy:
 
     @staticmethod
     def myopic(greed: float = 0.3) -> "Policy":
-        """Myopic: maximize immediate margin, ignore alpha."""
         def _fn(obs: np.ndarray, n: int) -> np.ndarray:
             demand_norm = obs[n:2*n] if len(obs) > 2*n else np.ones(n) * 0.5
-            mult = 1.0 + greed * (1 + np.mean(demand_norm))
+            return np.ones(n, dtype=np.float32) * np.clip(1.0 + greed * (1 + np.mean(demand_norm)), 0.5, 1.5)
-            return np.ones(n, dtype=np.float32) * np.clip(mult, 0.5, 1.5)
         return Policy(_fn, f"myopic_{greed:.1f}")
 
 
-class MetricsCallback(BaseCallback):
+def log_metrics(writer: SummaryWriter | None, metrics: Dict[str, float], prefix: str, step: int) -> None:
-    """Tracks thesis-aligned metrics during RL training."""
+    if writer is None:
+        return
+    for k, v in metrics.items():
+        writer.add_scalar(f'{prefix}/{k}', v, step)
 
+
+class MetricsCallback(BaseCallback):
     def __init__(self, writer: SummaryWriter | None, verbose: int = 0):
         super().__init__(verbose)
         self._writer = writer
-        self._ep = EpisodeMetrics()
-        self._buffer: List[EpisodeMetrics] = []
 
     def _on_step(self) -> bool:
+        if self._writer is None:
+            return True
         for info in self.locals.get('infos', []):
-            self._ep.steps += 1
+            t = self.num_timesteps
-            self._ep.reward += info.get('reward', 0)
+            self._writer.add_scalar('economics/revenue', info.get('revenue', 0), t)
-            self._ep.revenue += info.get('revenue', 0)
+            self._writer.add_scalar('economics/profit', info.get('profit', 0), t)
-            self._ep.profit += info.get('profit', 0)
+            self._writer.add_scalar('economics/margin', info.get('avg_margin', 0), t)
-            self._ep.coi_erosion += info.get('coi_erosion', 0)
+            self._writer.add_scalar('coi/erosion', info.get('coi_erosion', 0), t)
-            self._ep.coi_leakage += info.get('coi_leakage', 0)
+            self._writer.add_scalar('coi/leakage', info.get('coi_leakage', 0), t)
-            self._ep.alpha_error += abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0))
+            self._writer.add_scalar('alpha/estimation_error', abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0)), t)
-            self._ep.avg_margin += info.get('avg_margin', 0)
+            self._writer.add_scalar('agents/count', info.get('n_agents', 0), t)
-            self._ep.n_agents += info.get('n_agents', 0)
         return True
 
-    def _on_rollout_end(self) -> None:
-        if self._ep.steps == 0 or self._writer is None:
-            return
-        s, step = self._ep.steps, self.num_timesteps
-        self._writer.add_scalar('economics/revenue', self._ep.revenue / s, step)
-        self._writer.add_scalar('economics/profit', self._ep.profit / s, step)
-        self._writer.add_scalar('economics/margin', self._ep.avg_margin / s, step)
-        self._writer.add_scalar('coi/erosion', self._ep.coi_erosion / s, step)
-        self._writer.add_scalar('coi/leakage', self._ep.coi_leakage / s, step)
-        self._writer.add_scalar('alpha/estimation_error', self._ep.alpha_error / s, step)
-        self._writer.add_scalar('agents/count', self._ep.n_agents / s, step)
-        self._buffer.append(self._ep)
-        self._ep = EpisodeMetrics()
-
 
 def make_vec_env(cfg: ExperimentConfig, n_envs: int = 1) -> DummyVecEnv:
     def _make():
-        env_cfg = EnvConfig(n_products=cfg.n_products, max_steps=cfg.max_steps,
+        return Monitor(make_env(EnvConfig(n_products=cfg.n_products, max_steps=cfg.max_steps,
-                            alpha_true=cfg.alpha_true, reward_mode=cfg.reward_mode, seed=cfg.seed)
+                                          alpha_true=cfg.alpha_true, reward_mode=cfg.reward_mode, seed=cfg.seed)))
-        return Monitor(make_env(env_cfg))
     return DummyVecEnv([_make for _ in range(n_envs)])
 
 
-def evaluate_policy(policy: Policy | Any, cfg: ExperimentConfig, n_episodes: int = 20) -> Dict[str, float]:
+def run_episodes(policy: Policy | Any, env: PricingEnv, n_episodes: int) -> List[EpisodeMetrics]:
-    """Evaluate policy and return thesis-aligned metrics."""
+    """Run policy for n episodes and collect metrics."""
-    env_cfg = EnvConfig(n_products=cfg.n_products, max_steps=cfg.max_steps,
-                        alpha_true=cfg.alpha_true, reward_mode=cfg.reward_mode, seed=cfg.seed + 999)
-    env = make_env(env_cfg)
     metrics = []
-
     for _ in range(n_episodes):
         obs, _ = env.reset()
-        ep = EpisodeMetrics()
+        ep, done = EpisodeMetrics(), False
-        done = False
         while not done:
             action, _ = policy.predict(obs, deterministic=True)
             obs, reward, term, trunc, info = env.step(action)
             done = term or trunc
+            ep.accumulate(info)
             ep.reward += reward
-            ep.revenue += info.get('revenue', 0)
-            ep.profit += info.get('profit', 0)
-            ep.coi_erosion += info.get('coi_erosion', 0)
-            ep.coi_leakage += info.get('coi_leakage', 0)
-            ep.alpha_error += abs(info['alpha_true'] - info['alpha_est'])
-            ep.avg_margin += info.get('avg_margin', 0)
-            ep.steps += 1
         metrics.append(ep)
+    return metrics
 
-    n = len(metrics)
+
+def evaluate_policy(policy: Policy | Any, cfg: ExperimentConfig, n_episodes: int = 20) -> Dict[str, float]:
+    env = make_env(EnvConfig(n_products=cfg.n_products, max_steps=cfg.max_steps,
+                             alpha_true=cfg.alpha_true, reward_mode=cfg.reward_mode, seed=cfg.seed + 999))
+    metrics = run_episodes(policy, env, n_episodes)
     return {
-        'reward_mean': np.mean([m.reward for m in metrics]),
+        'reward_mean': np.mean([m.reward for m in metrics]), 'reward_std': np.std([m.reward for m in metrics]),
-        'reward_std': np.std([m.reward for m in metrics]),
+        **{f'{k}_mean': np.mean([m.normalized()[k] for m in metrics])
-        'revenue_mean': np.mean([m.revenue / m.steps for m in metrics]),
+           for k in ['revenue', 'profit', 'coi_erosion', 'coi_leakage', 'alpha_error', 'avg_margin']},
-        'profit_mean': np.mean([m.profit / m.steps for m in metrics]),
-        'coi_erosion_mean': np.mean([m.coi_erosion / m.steps for m in metrics]),
-        'coi_leakage_mean': np.mean([m.coi_leakage / m.steps for m in metrics]),
-        'alpha_error_mean': np.mean([m.alpha_error / m.steps for m in metrics]),
-        'margin_mean': np.mean([m.avg_margin / m.steps for m in metrics]),
     }
 
 
+def run_baseline(policy: Policy, vec_env: DummyVecEnv, total_steps: int, writer: SummaryWriter | None):
+    obs, n_envs = vec_env.reset(), vec_env.num_envs
+    ep_rewards = np.zeros(n_envs)
+
+    for step in range(0, total_steps, n_envs):
+        actions = np.array([policy.predict(obs[i])[0] for i in range(n_envs)])
+        obs, rewards, dones, infos = vec_env.step(actions)
+        ep_rewards += rewards
+        for i, info in enumerate(infos):
+            if writer:
+                writer.add_scalar('economics/revenue', info.get('revenue', 0), step)
+                writer.add_scalar('economics/profit', info.get('profit', 0), step)
+                writer.add_scalar('economics/margin', info.get('avg_margin', 0), step)
+                writer.add_scalar('coi/erosion', info.get('coi_erosion', 0), step)
+                writer.add_scalar('coi/leakage', info.get('coi_leakage', 0), step)
+                writer.add_scalar('alpha/estimation_error', abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0)), step)
+                writer.add_scalar('agents/count', info.get('n_agents', 0), step)
+            if dones[i]:
+                if writer:
+                    writer.add_scalar('rollout/ep_reward', ep_rewards[i], step)
+                ep_rewards[i] = 0
+
+
 def train(cfg: ExperimentConfig) -> Dict[str, Any]:
-    """Train RL agent or evaluate baseline policy."""
     is_baseline = cfg.algo.lower() in ["fixed", "adaptive", "random", "myopic"]
     if not HAS_SB3 and not is_baseline:
         raise ImportError("stable-baselines3 required: pip install stable-baselines3[extra]")
@@ -194,85 +203,65 @@ def train(cfg: ExperimentConfig) -> Dict[str, Any]:
         json.dump(asdict(cfg), f, indent=2)
 
     writer = SummaryWriter(log_path) if HAS_TB else None
-    train_env = make_vec_env(cfg, cfg.n_envs)
+    train_env, eval_env = make_vec_env(cfg, cfg.n_envs), make_vec_env(cfg, 1)
-    eval_env = make_vec_env(cfg, 1)
 
     if is_baseline:
-        policy_map = {"fixed": Policy.fixed(), "adaptive": Policy.adaptive(),
+        policy = {"fixed": Policy.fixed, "adaptive": Policy.adaptive, "random": Policy.random, "myopic": Policy.myopic}[cfg.algo.lower()]()
-                      "random": Policy.random(), "myopic": Policy.myopic()}
-        policy = policy_map[cfg.algo.lower()]
         run_baseline(policy, train_env, cfg.total_timesteps, writer)
         final_metrics = evaluate_policy(policy, cfg)
     else:
-        algo_cls = {"ppo": PPO, "sac": SAC, "a2c": A2C}.get(cfg.algo.lower())
+        algo_cls = {"ppo": PPO, "sac": SAC, "a2c": A2C}[cfg.algo.lower()]
-        if algo_cls is None:
-            raise ValueError(f"unknown algo: {cfg.algo}")
         common = dict(verbose=1, seed=cfg.seed, tensorboard_log=str(log_path), device="auto")
-        # TODO: setup hyper parameter passing to train different variations (no free lunch)
+        model = {
-        if cfg.algo.lower() == "ppo":
+            "ppo": lambda: PPO("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=3e-4, n_steps=2048, batch_size=64, n_epochs=10, gamma=0.99, gae_lambda=0.95, clip_range=0.2, ent_coef=0.01, **common),
-            model = PPO("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=3e-4, n_steps=2048,
+            "sac": lambda: SAC("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=3e-4, buffer_size=100_000, batch_size=256, tau=0.005, gamma=0.99, **common),
-                        batch_size=64, n_epochs=10, gamma=0.99, gae_lambda=0.95,
+            "a2c": lambda: A2C("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=7e-4, n_steps=5, gamma=0.99, **common),
-                        clip_range=0.2, ent_coef=0.01, **common)
+        }[cfg.algo.lower()]()
-        elif cfg.algo.lower() == "sac":
-            model = SAC("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=3e-4, buffer_size=100_000,
-                        batch_size=256, tau=0.005, gamma=0.99, **common)
-        else:
-            model = A2C("MlpPolicy", train_env, learning_rate=7e-4, n_steps=5, gamma=0.99, **common)
 
         cb = MetricsCallback(writer)
-        eval_cb = EvalCallback(eval_env, best_model_save_path=str(log_path / "best"),
+        eval_cb = EvalCallback(eval_env, best_model_save_path=str(log_path / "best"), log_path=str(log_path),
-                               log_path=str(log_path), eval_freq=cfg.eval_freq,
+                               eval_freq=cfg.eval_freq, n_eval_episodes=cfg.n_eval_episodes, deterministic=True)
-                               n_eval_episodes=cfg.n_eval_episodes, deterministic=True)
         model.learn(cfg.total_timesteps, callback=[cb, eval_cb], progress_bar=True)
         model.save(log_path / "final_model")
         policy = model
         final_metrics = evaluate_policy(model, cfg)
 
     if writer:
-        for k, v in final_metrics.items():
+        log_metrics(writer, final_metrics, 'final', cfg.total_timesteps)
-            writer.add_scalar(f'final/{k}', v, cfg.total_timesteps)
         writer.close()
 
-    train_env.close()
+    train_env.close(); eval_env.close()
-    eval_env.close()
     with open(log_path / "results.json", "w") as f:
         json.dump(final_metrics, f, indent=2)
     return {"path": str(log_path), "metrics": final_metrics}
 
 
-def run_baseline(policy: Policy, vec_env: DummyVecEnv, total_steps: int, writer: SummaryWriter | None):
+def _train_alpha(args: tuple) -> tuple[str, Dict]:
-    """Run baseline policy through environment with logging."""
+    """Worker for parallel sweep - must be top-level for pickling."""
-    obs = vec_env.reset()
+    cfg_dict, alpha = args
-    n_envs = vec_env.num_envs
+    cfg_dict["alpha_true"] = alpha
-    ep_rewards = np.zeros(n_envs)
+    cfg_dict["experiment_name"] = f"{cfg_dict['algo']}_a{alpha:.2f}_{cfg_dict['reward_mode']}"
-    all_rewards, coi_buf, alpha_buf = [], [], []
+    sweep_cfg = ExperimentConfig(**cfg_dict)
-
+    print(f"[alpha={alpha:.2f}] starting")
-    for step in range(0, total_steps, n_envs):
+    metrics = train(sweep_cfg)["metrics"]
-        actions = np.array([policy.predict(obs[i])[0] for i in range(n_envs)])
+    print(f"[alpha={alpha:.2f}] done")
-        obs, rewards, dones, infos = vec_env.step(actions)
+    return f"alpha_{alpha:.2f}", metrics
-        ep_rewards += rewards
-        for i, info in enumerate(infos):
-            coi_buf.append(info.get('coi_erosion', 0))
-            alpha_buf.append(abs(info.get('alpha_true', 0) - info.get('alpha_est', 0)))
-            if dones[i]:
-                all_rewards.append(ep_rewards[i])
-                ep_rewards[i] = 0
-        if writer and step % 1000 < n_envs and all_rewards:
-            writer.add_scalar('rollout/ep_rew_mean', np.mean(all_rewards[-20:]), step)
-            writer.add_scalar('coi/erosion', np.mean(coi_buf[-100:]), step)
-            writer.add_scalar('alpha/estimation_error', np.mean(alpha_buf[-100:]), step)
 
 
-def run_sweep(cfg: ExperimentConfig, alphas: List[float] | None = None) -> Dict[str, Dict]:
+def run_sweep(cfg: ExperimentConfig, alphas: List[float] | None = None, max_workers: int | None = None) -> Dict[str, Dict]:
-    """Run experiment across contamination levels for scientific comparison."""
+    alphas = alphas or [0.0, 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9]
-    alphas = alphas or [0.0, 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5]
+    cfg_dict = asdict(cfg)
-    results = {}
+
-    for alpha in alphas:
+    if max_workers == 1:  # sequential fallback
-        sweep_cfg = ExperimentConfig(**{**asdict(cfg), "alpha_true": alpha,
+        results = dict(_train_alpha((cfg_dict.copy(), a)) for a in alphas)
-                                         "experiment_name": f"{cfg.algo}_a{alpha:.2f}_{cfg.reward_mode}"})
+    else:
-        print(f"\n=== α={alpha:.2f} ===")
+        with ProcessPoolExecutor(max_workers=max_workers) as pool:
-        out = train(sweep_cfg)
+            futures = {pool.submit(_train_alpha, (cfg_dict.copy(), a)): a for a in alphas}
-        results[f"alpha_{alpha:.2f}"] = out["metrics"]
+            results = {}
+            for fut in as_completed(futures):
+                key, metrics = fut.result()
+                results[key] = metrics
+
     summary_path = Path(cfg.log_dir) / f"sweep_{cfg.algo}_{cfg.reward_mode}.json"
     with open(summary_path, "w") as f:
         json.dump(results, f, indent=2)
@@ -280,23 +269,38 @@ def run_sweep(cfg: ExperimentConfig, alphas: List[float] | None = None) -> Dict[
     return results
 
 
-def compare_policies(cfg: ExperimentConfig, policies: List[str] | None = None) -> Dict[str, Dict]:
+def _train_policy(args: tuple) -> tuple[str, Dict]:
-    """Compare multiple policies at same contamination level."""
+    """Worker for parallel policy comparison."""
+    cfg_dict, algo = args
+    cfg_dict["algo"] = algo
+    cfg_dict["experiment_name"] = f"cmp_{algo}_a{cfg_dict['alpha_true']:.2f}"
+    cmp_cfg = ExperimentConfig(**cfg_dict)
+    print(f"[{algo}] starting")
+    metrics = train(cmp_cfg)["metrics"]
+    print(f"[{algo}] done")
+    return algo, metrics
+
+
+def compare_policies(cfg: ExperimentConfig, policies: List[str] | None = None, max_workers: int | None = None) -> Dict[str, Dict]:
     policies = policies or ["fixed", "adaptive", "myopic", "random"]
-    results = {}
+    cfg_dict = asdict(cfg)
-    for algo in policies:
+
-        cmp_cfg = ExperimentConfig(**{**asdict(cfg), "algo": algo,
+    if max_workers == 1:
-                                       "experiment_name": f"cmp_{algo}_a{cfg.alpha_true:.2f}"})
+        results = dict(_train_policy((cfg_dict.copy(), p)) for p in policies)
-        print(f"\n=== {algo} ===")
+    else:
-        out = train(cmp_cfg)
+        with ProcessPoolExecutor(max_workers=max_workers) as pool:
-        results[algo] = out["metrics"]
+            futures = {pool.submit(_train_policy, (cfg_dict.copy(), p)): p for p in policies}
+            results = {}
+            for fut in as_completed(futures):
+                algo, metrics = fut.result()
+                results[algo] = metrics
+
     cmp_path = Path(cfg.log_dir) / f"compare_a{cfg.alpha_true:.2f}.json"
     with open(cmp_path, "w") as f:
         json.dump(results, f, indent=2)
     print(f"\nComparison saved to {cmp_path}")
     for algo, m in results.items():
-        print(f"  {algo:12s}: reward={m['reward_mean']:.2f} coi_erosion={m['coi_erosion_mean']:.4f} "
+        print(f"  {algo:12s}: reward={m['reward_mean']:.2f} coi_erosion={m['coi_erosion_mean']:.4f} alpha_err={m['alpha_error_mean']:.4f}")
-              f"alpha_err={m['alpha_error_mean']:.4f}")
     return results
 
 
@@ -312,6 +316,7 @@ def main():
     parser.add_argument("--log-dir", default="lab/case/thesis/runs")
     parser.add_argument("--sweep", action="store_true", help="run contamination sweep")
     parser.add_argument("--compare", action="store_true", help="compare all baselines")
+    parser.add_argument("--workers", type=int, default=None, help="max parallel workers for sweep (None=auto, 1=sequential)")
     args = parser.parse_args()
 
     cfg = ExperimentConfig(algo=args.algo, total_timesteps=args.steps, alpha_true=args.alpha,
@@ -319,9 +324,9 @@ def main():
                            n_envs=args.n_envs, seed=args.seed, log_dir=args.log_dir)
 
     if args.sweep:
-        run_sweep(cfg)
+        run_sweep(cfg, max_workers=args.workers)
     elif args.compare:
-        compare_policies(cfg)
+        compare_policies(cfg, max_workers=args.workers)
     else:
         result = train(cfg)
         print(f"\nTraining complete: {result['path']}")