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feature: rudemantary defintition of pricing pipeline
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@@ -75,6 +75,8 @@ if __name__ == "__main__":
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# compute elasticity via unified pipeline
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window_size = "30s"
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elasticity_results = elasticity_pipeline(interaction_data, pricing_data, window_size=window_size)
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elasticity_value_array = elasticity_results['elasticity'].values if elasticity_results is not None else np.array([])
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print(elasticity_value_array)
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if elasticity_results is not None and not elasticity_results.empty:
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print(elasticity_results.to_string(index=False))
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@@ -0,0 +1,109 @@
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r"""
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Our state space comes as:
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$Q_t in R^n$ - our demand at a time t
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$P_t in R^n$ - prices at time t
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$S_t$ some form of interaction session features
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This is a single sate which we map under
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$f: (Q, S, H) \to P_{t+1}$
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With:
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$H_t = \{Q_{t-k}, P_{t-k}, S_{t-k}\}$
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We can have f be literally anything, analytical or learned or rule based or an RL policy.
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Our goal is to mazimize the expected revenue:
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$E[R_T] = E[\sum_{t=1}^T P_t^T \dot Q_t]$
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subject to Q_t = g(P_t, S_t) : demand response to price (estimated via elasticity) and P_t ≥ C : prices above cost floor and additionally minimizing the following:
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$L_{agent} = R_{oracle} - R_{observed}
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where: R_oracle = revenue if we knew agent intentions (from recon session) and R_observed = revenue under current pricing policy f
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I would start be defning a pricing function interface and standardizing how to train that based on historical data and define how to make it behave for online training (if we do that)
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We also need to develop a solid benchmark with mapping revenue and full KPIs from session interactions to measure differences between different price learning methods
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"""
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from abc import ABC, abstractmethod
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from sklearn.base import BaseEstimator, TransformerMixin
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import numpy as np
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import pandas as pd
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from pipeline import interaction_pipeline, price_data_pipeline, elasticity_pipeline
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def expected_revenue(prices: np.ndarray, demand: np.ndarray) -> float:
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"""Returns: expected revenue R_t = P_t^T * Q_t"""
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return float(np.dot(prices, demand))
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class StateSpace:
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def __init__(self,
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demand : np.ndarray, # at time t, only values (assuming aligned by productId order)
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prices : np.ndarray, # at time t, only values (assuming aligned by productId order)
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session_features : pd.DataFrame):
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self.demand = demand # Q_t
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self.prices = prices # P_t
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self.session_features = session_features # S_t
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self.history = [] # H_t
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class PricingFunction(BaseEstimator, TransformerMixin, ABC):
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def __init__(self):
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pass
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def fit(self, historical_data):
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"""
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Train the pricing function based on historical data.
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historical_data: list of StateSpace instances with known outcomes
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"""
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raise NotImplementedError("Train method must be implemented by subclass.")
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def transform(self, state_space) -> np.ndarray:
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"""
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Predict the next prices given the current state space.
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state_space: StateSpace instance
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Returns: predicted prices P_{t+1}
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"""
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raise NotImplementedError("Predict method must be implemented by subclass.")
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class SimpleLinearPricingFunction(PricingFunction):
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def __init__(self, price_sensitivity: float = -0.1):
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super().__init__()
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self.price_sensitivity = price_sensitivity # simple coefficient
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def fit(self, historical_data):
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return self
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def transform(self, state_space: StateSpace) -> np.ndarray:
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# Simple linear adjustment: P_{t+1} = P_t + sensitivity * Q_t
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new_prices = state_space.prices + self.price_sensitivity * state_space.demand # this is not great
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return np.maximum(new_prices, 0)
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# Example usage:
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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interaction_data = interaction_pipeline.fit_transform(None)
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price_data = price_data_pipeline.fit_transform(None)
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price_elasticity = elasticity_pipeline(interaction_data, price_data, window_size="30s")
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price_elasticity = price_elasticity['elasticity'].values if price_elasticity is not None and not price_elasticity.empty else np.array([])
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price_data = price_data['price'].values if not price_data.empty else np.array([])
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print(price_elasticity)
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print(price_data)
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state_space = StateSpace(
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demand=price_elasticity,
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prices=price_data,
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session_features=interaction_data
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)
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pricing_function = SimpleLinearPricingFunction(price_sensitivity=-0.05)
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pricing_function.fit([]) # No training data for simple model
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predicted_prices = pricing_function.transform(state_space)
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print("Predicted Prices:", predicted_prices)
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